uncertainty in predictions

Why Does Uncertainty Exist?

Uncertainty exists due to a combination of factors:
- Incomplete Data: Data collection may be inconsistent or incomplete, leading to gaps in understanding.
- Model Assumptions: Epidemiological models rely on assumptions that may not hold true in all scenarios.
- Pathogen Evolution: Pathogens can mutate, affecting transmissibility and virulence.
- Human Behavior: Predicting human behavior, such as adherence to public health measures, adds another layer of complexity.

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