Forecasting methods in epidemiology can be broadly categorized into statistical models and mechanistic models.
- Statistical Models: These models use historical data to identify patterns and trends. Common techniques include time series analysis and regression models. - Mechanistic Models: These models incorporate biological and social factors to simulate disease dynamics. The most well-known mechanistic models are the SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) and SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered) models.
