Several key factors influence COVID-19 predictions, including:
Transmission Rate (R0): The basic reproduction number, indicating how many people, on average, one infected person will spread the virus to. Population Density: Higher density areas tend to have greater transmission rates. Public Health Interventions: Measures such as social distancing, mask-wearing, and lockdowns significantly impact the spread. Vaccination: The rate of vaccination and the efficacy of vaccines play a crucial role in controlling outbreaks. Variants of Concern: New variants can alter transmission dynamics and vaccine effectiveness.